Cimarrones de Sonora vs Mexicali FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
6º
1º
3
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
DUR
2 - 2
CIM
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CIM
1 - 0
LEO
78%
16%
6%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
ADG
7 - 5
CIM
18%
22%
60%
|
69 | 19 | 50 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CIM
3 - 0
TRI
63%
23%
14%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TDA
0 - 1
CIM
17%
22%
61%
|
68 | 16 | 52 | +1 |
Matches
Mexicali FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 2
EST
21%
23%
56%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ZAC
4 - 0
MFC
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
MIN
29%
25%
47%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 1
LCU
21%
25%
54%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DUR
5 - 0
MFC
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | 0 |