Cimarrones de Sonora vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
29.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 1
CIM
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
CIM
1 - 0
TAM
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CDT
0 - 0
CIM
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
CIM
0 - 1
ALE
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
CIM
2 - 3
UDG
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 2
MOR
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
ALE
1 - 0
TOR
36%
28%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 1
UAT
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
TIA
0 - 1
TOR
32%
28%
39%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 0
UDG
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |