Cimarrones II vs UA Zacatecas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
5º
5º
17
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 17 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 17 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CSI
2 - 0
NAY
26%
24%
50%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TRI
4 - 1
CSI
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CSI
0 - 1
EST
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
CSI
14%
20%
66%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CSI
4 - 1
LEO
54%
23%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
UA Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ZAC
3 - 1
HDZ
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 1
ZAC
17%
22%
62%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CFC
3 - 1
ZAC
24%
25%
52%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NAY
1 - 0
ZAC
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ZAC
1 - 0
TRI
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |