Cieza vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
52.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1994 |
ELC
6 - 0
CIE
74%
19%
7%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1994 |
CIE
1 - 3
BEN
27%
31%
42%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 1994 |
GIR
1 - 0
CIE
77%
15%
7%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1994 |
CIE
0 - 2
UES
21%
29%
50%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
YEC
3 - 1
CIE
76%
17%
7%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1994 |
FIG
0 - 0
VAL
64%
23%
13%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1994 |
VAL
2 - 2
CFC
43%
28%
29%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1994 |
VAL
0 - 1
HOS
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1994 |
GIM
3 - 1
VAL
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
VAL
0 - 1
ALC
50%
25%
24%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |