Cieza vs Minerva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
UCA
1 - 1
CIE
56%
22%
23%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CIE
2 - 0
LOR
10%
22%
68%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
LAU
2 - 0
CIE
47%
23%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CIE
2 - 1
CDA
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
3 - 1
CIE
69%
19%
13%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Minerva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MIN
1 - 2
MAR
28%
24%
48%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CHU
3 - 0
MIN
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MIN
1 - 0
NUE
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
YEC
2 - 0
MIN
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 1
MIN
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |