Cieza vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
CIE
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CIE
3 - 0
CDA
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
YEC
5 - 0
CIE
62%
21%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CIE
4 - 4
EGP
37%
25%
38%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MIN
0 - 2
CIE
49%
23%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
IMP
1 - 0
UCA
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 0
IMP
35%
25%
40%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
IMP
1 - 1
MUL
58%
23%
19%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LAU
2 - 1
IMP
50%
25%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
IMP
1 - 1
LFC
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |