Cieza vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
29%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
ELC
6 - 2
CIE
78%
13%
9%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
CIE
4 - 0
LIN
75%
13%
11%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
ALI
6 - 2
CIE
73%
15%
13%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
CIE
3 - 1
ALB
41%
22%
37%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +3 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
GAB
2 - 2
CIE
48%
21%
31%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
VAL
4 - 1
IMP
90%
7%
3%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
IMP
8 - 1
ELD
63%
18%
19%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
RJA
4 - 0
IMP
60%
19%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
IMP
2 - 0
CAA
74%
14%
12%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1948 |
IMP
1 - 0
CRE
76%
14%
11%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |