Cieza vs Pinatar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1983 |
ALM
0 - 1
CIE
50%
25%
25%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
CIE
4 - 1
ORI
34%
29%
37%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +3 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
CIE
4 - 0
MUL
60%
23%
17%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
MOL
3 - 1
CIE
56%
24%
20%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
CIE
2 - 0
IMP
42%
28%
30%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Pinatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1983 |
PIN
0 - 0
MUL
52%
26%
22%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
MOL
0 - 0
PIN
66%
21%
13%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
PIN
0 - 1
IMP
38%
29%
33%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
ELC
3 - 1
PIN
53%
25%
22%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
PIN
3 - 3
OLI
55%
25%
20%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |