Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-3
Cieza vs Eldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
LEV
1 - 0
CIE
69%
21%
10%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
ELD
3 - 0
CIE
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
CIE
1 - 1
BAL
23%
31%
47%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
TCF
0 - 1
CIE
23%
28%
49%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
CIE
1 - 0
IMP
78%
15%
7%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
OLI
2 - 0
ELD
54%
27%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
ELD
3 - 0
CIE
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
ELD
1 - 1
GAN
36%
30%
34%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
ELD
5 - 1
CAL
84%
12%
4%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
BIG
2 - 2
ELD
36%
30%
34%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |