Cieza vs Unión Molinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
CDT
0 - 2
CIE
45%
24%
31%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
CIE
0 - 1
ARC
61%
20%
19%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CIE
1 - 3
LAU
39%
25%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 0
CIE
25%
24%
52%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CIE
4 - 1
CDA
46%
24%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Molinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
MSM
3 - 4
VIL
53%
21%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
MSM
53%
22%
25%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CCS
4 - 1
MSM
35%
24%
41%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
MSM
0 - 1
EFA
41%
23%
36%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
RMC
4 - 0
MSM
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |