Cieza vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
MSM
0 - 2
CIE
44%
25%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CIE
0 - 2
MUL
38%
25%
37%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ABA
3 - 1
CIE
47%
24%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CIE
1 - 0
CHU
45%
25%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CLU
1 - 0
CIE
27%
25%
47%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 2
MSM
61%
21%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MUL
1 - 0
VIL
41%
25%
35%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 0
ABA
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CHU
1 - 0
VIL
34%
26%
41%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
CLU
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |