Cieza vs CD El Esparragal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+116%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
YEC
1 - 1
CIE
32%
25%
43%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CIE
2 - 0
AFC
52%
23%
25%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CIE
2 - 0
VIL
20%
21%
59%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 3
CIE
35%
25%
40%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ALG
0 - 0
CIE
55%
21%
23%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Esparragal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
EEP
0 - 4
VIL
16%
19%
65%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 1
EEP
39%
25%
37%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
EEP
0 - 4
ALG
32%
22%
46%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 1
EEP
22%
23%
55%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CDB
3 - 0
EEP
35%
24%
41%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |