Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 1-7
Cieza vs Cartagena F.C. UCAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
43.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
CIE
2 - 3
IMP
61%
23%
17%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
CAR
1 - 1
CIE
16%
25%
58%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
CIE
0 - 0
CDB
73%
18%
9%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
DOL
1 - 2
CIE
11%
24%
65%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
CIE
0 - 2
PIN
62%
22%
16%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cartagena F.C. UCAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
BET
4 - 2
CFC
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
POL
2 - 1
CFC
31%
30%
40%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
CFC
2 - 2
GRA
53%
28%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
SEV
1 - 2
CFC
40%
29%
31%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
CFC
0 - 1
TAL
63%
24%
13%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |