Cieza vs FC Cartagena B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
44.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
AGU
3 - 1
CIE
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CIE
4 - 3
IMP
40%
24%
36%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MUL
3 - 0
CIE
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MAZ
3 - 0
CIE
48%
24%
28%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CAP
5 - 0
CIE
42%
24%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Cartagena B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
MAR
38%
24%
38%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CHU
1 - 0
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
NUE
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
YEC
1 - 0
CAR
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
OLI
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |