Cieza vs Estudiantes Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
22.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
UCA
2 - 0
CIE
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CIE
4 - 2
OLI
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MUL
1 - 1
CIE
40%
24%
36%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CIE
1 - 0
LAU
29%
24%
47%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LFC
6 - 1
CIE
75%
15%
11%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
NUE
3 - 2
IMP
32%
24%
44%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NUE
0 - 4
UCA
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
NUE
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
NUE
1 - 1
OLI
59%
20%
21%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CDA
0 - 1
NUE
30%
22%
47%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |