Ciervos vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
11%
28%
Draw
0-0
15.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
28%
57.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
20.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
29%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciervos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CIE
1 - 1
PDC
19%
23%
58%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
AGU
2 - 0
CIE
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
CIE
0 - 3
IPC
13%
27%
60%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
CIE
2 - 3
DON
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CUA
1 - 0
CIE
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CAZ
2 - 1
DON
70%
20%
11%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
CUA
0 - 1
CAZ
24%
28%
48%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
IPC
1 - 1
CAZ
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
CAZ
2 - 0
CCM
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CAZ
2 - 2
IRA
39%
26%
36%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |