Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 1-2
Ciempozuelos vs Mérida CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciempozuelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
ARG
2 - 0
CIE
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
CIE
1 - 2
SFN
86%
10%
5%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
MER
0 - 1
CIE
61%
22%
17%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
CDT
4 - 1
CIE
67%
18%
15%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
CIE
2 - 1
CDS
86%
10%
4%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
JER
0 - 0
MER
50%
29%
21%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
CAR
1 - 1
MER
57%
21%
21%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
MER
0 - 1
CIE
61%
22%
17%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
MER
3 - 1
UBE
50%
30%
20%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
SFE
1 - 0
MER
78%
16%
6%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |