Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-4
Ciempozuelos vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciempozuelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
ARG
0 - 2
CIE
56%
25%
19%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
CIE
2 - 1
MAN
58%
25%
17%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
ALC
2 - 1
CIE
73%
18%
9%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
CIE
5 - 0
SDT
58%
24%
18%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
VAL
2 - 1
CIE
45%
28%
27%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
NUM
1 - 2
ALC
61%
22%
17%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
LEG
1 - 2
ALC
62%
23%
15%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
ALC
3 - 2
COL
59%
25%
17%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
CDB
0 - 3
ALC
64%
22%
14%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
ALC
2 - 3
SFN
55%
26%
19%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |