Cibao vs Vega Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cibao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MOC
4 - 1
CFC
34%
29%
37%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
CFC
4 - 2
DEP
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
CFC
35%
26%
38%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CFC
3 - 2
RFC
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CFC
3 - 0
MOC
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Vega Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
AVR
1 - 0
RFC
46%
26%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
MOC
4 - 0
AVR
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
AVR
3 - 0
SCR
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 1
AVR
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 0
AVR
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |