CONCACAF League Last 16
Global 0-3
Cibao vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
50.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cibao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
AVR
0 - 3
CFC
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
DEP
3 - 1
CFC
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 1
MOC
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
JAR
1 - 2
CFC
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
CFC
44%
26%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
MOT
4 - 1
MAR
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
MOT
2 - 2
VID
52%
25%
22%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
RES
1 - 1
MOT
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
MOT
4 - 0
HNP
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
RES
2 - 0
MOT
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |