Cianorte vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CIA
0 - 0
FER
29%
30%
41%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
TUB
1 - 0
CIA
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
CIA
1 - 4
FOZ
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
COT
1 - 0
CIA
68%
21%
12%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
CIA
0 - 2
SCI
14%
24%
62%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 1
TUB
37%
28%
36%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
NOV
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ECA
1 - 1
NOV
39%
26%
36%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
VER
3 - 1
NOV
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
BRA
22%
25%
54%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |