Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 4-3
Cianorte vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 1
CIA
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
CIA
33%
27%
41%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CIA
0 - 0
MOG
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
0 - 1
CIA
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CIA
2 - 1
CAC
66%
22%
13%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 1
CIA
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 0
MET
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 1
JUV
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
4 - 0
MIR
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 0
JUV
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |