Cianorte vs J. Malucelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 3
CIA
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
1 - 3
CIA
24%
25%
51%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CIA
1 - 0
PAR
20%
25%
55%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
TCW
4 - 0
CIA
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
CIA
3 - 1
RIO
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
JMA
3 - 1
ACP
51%
24%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
TCW
1 - 1
JMA
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
JMA
0 - 2
LON
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ATP
3 - 1
JMA
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
JMA
2 - 2
PAR
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |