Cianorte vs J. Malucelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
COT
3 - 1
CIA
83%
12%
5%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CIA
0 - 0
ACP
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
CIA
0 - 0
OPE
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ATP
3 - 0
CIA
74%
18%
9%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 1
CIA
25%
25%
51%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
JMA
1 - 1
ATP
12%
21%
67%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 1
JMA
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
JMA
2 - 1
ARA
31%
25%
43%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ACP
3 - 1
JMA
45%
25%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
JMA
3 - 2
IRA
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |