Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 0-0
Cianorte vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
+2
6.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
31%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
42.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
FER
0 - 0
CIA
64%
23%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
TUB
1 - 2
CIA
48%
26%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
CIA
0 - 0
SAO
34%
30%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
CIA
1 - 0
CAX
31%
30%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
CAX
2 - 0
CIA
58%
25%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
FER
0 - 0
CIA
64%
23%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 0
FER
23%
30%
48%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
ECA
69%
21%
10%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
FER
0 - 1
GRE
70%
20%
10%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 2
FER
24%
29%
47%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |