Cianorte vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
41.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
TUB
1 - 0
CIA
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
CIA
1 - 4
FOZ
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
COT
1 - 0
CIA
68%
21%
12%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
CIA
0 - 2
SCI
14%
24%
62%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CIA
2 - 0
GRE
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
NOV
69%
20%
11%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
FER
3 - 1
RBB
62%
22%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
ITU
2 - 2
FER
30%
27%
42%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FER
0 - 2
PPE
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PPE
0 - 0
FER
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |