Série D Brazil Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 5-2
Cianorte vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
21.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
COS
1 - 3
CIA
36%
29%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
HER
1 - 0
CIA
55%
26%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
CIA
1 - 1
CAS
38%
30%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
CIA
1 - 2
NOV
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 2
CIA
43%
30%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
COS
1 - 3
CIA
36%
29%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
COS
0 - 0
SAO
37%
28%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
INT
1 - 0
COS
66%
22%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
COS
3 - 2
GRE
17%
27%
56%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
POA
0 - 1
COS
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |