Cianorte vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
19.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
MAD
0 - 0
CIA
35%
30%
35%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CIA
2 - 1
BOA
41%
29%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
CIA
1 - 1
SAN
36%
30%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 1
CIA
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CIA
1 - 0
SAO
36%
30%
34%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BOA
2 - 0
BAN
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
BAN
3 - 1
MAD
29%
27%
44%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
BAN
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
BAN
1 - 1
INT
27%
27%
46%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
INT
0 - 1
BAN
64%
22%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |