Cianorte vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
64.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CIA
4 - 1
ROM
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 0
CIA
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
CIA
1 - 1
PAR
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ACP
1 - 2
CIA
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
JMA
2 - 1
CIA
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 3
ATP
18%
24%
59%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ATP
2 - 0
CCR
88%
9%
2%
|
79 | 42 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
ROM
2 - 3
ATP
13%
22%
65%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ATP
0 - 2
OPE
83%
12%
5%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
PAU
0 - 2
ATP
22%
24%
54%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |