Cianorte vs Arapongas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CIA
1 - 2
MOG
37%
28%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 2
CIA
59%
23%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CIA
3 - 0
JUV
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 1
CIA
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
CIA
33%
27%
41%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 0
BRA
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MIR
4 - 1
ARA
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 0
JUV
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
MET
2 - 1
ARA
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 0
ARA
52%
27%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |