CDI Amistad U19 vs Puente Castro FC Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
45.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-79%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
15º
12º
14
12º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 73 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 69 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 63 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 60 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
53% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 42 |
6º
|
30% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 41 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 40 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 38 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 38 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 31 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
|
15º
|
13 | 27 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 27 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 26 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 24 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 23 |
16º
|
22.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 64.5% |
|
Relegation
|
26.5% | 35.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDI Amistad U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
NUM
2 - 0
CIA
84%
11%
5%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CIA
0 - 0
CDP
21%
21%
59%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CIA
1 - 2
UDS
44%
25%
31%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BUR
1 - 1
CIA
66%
17%
17%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CIA
0 - 2
COL
16%
20%
64%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Puente Castro FC Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PUE
3 - 2
REA
9%
16%
75%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
INT
3 - 0
PUE
56%
21%
23%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 0
PUE
33%
24%
43%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
PUE
3 - 3
SAL
30%
21%
49%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
PON
1 - 0
PUE
45%
23%
32%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |