Churchill Brothers vs Shillong Lajong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
10º
7º
31
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
86.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
97.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Churchill Brothers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
CHU
2 - 0
DFC
39%
25%
37%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CHU
1 - 2
GFC
27%
26%
48%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CHU
0 - 2
RKF
50%
26%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
KAS
1 - 1
CHU
17%
22%
61%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CHU
1 - 1
NAM
80%
13%
7%
|
50 | 16 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Shillong Lajong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
SHI
4 - 4
RAJ
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 2
SHI
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
NER
0 - 2
SHI
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
GFC
2 - 0
SHI
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 1
KAS
71%
16%
13%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |