Churchill Brothers vs Semen Padang analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
10.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Churchill Brothers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
KFC
3 - 0
CHU
58%
21%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
CHU
2 - 2
PRA
71%
17%
12%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 0
CHU
25%
25%
50%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
MUM
0 - 0
CHU
16%
23%
61%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
EAS
0 - 3
CHU
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Semen Padang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
SEM
3 - 1
WAR
15%
17%
69%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SEM
4 - 1
PBO
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +2 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SEM
0 - 1
PBO
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
PER
0 - 3
SEM
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
SEM
0 - 2
PER
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -2 |