Churchill Brothers vs Neroca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
10º
6º
25
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Churchill Brothers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
GFC
1 - 0
CHU
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
CHU
6 - 1
TRA
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
CHU
0 - 0
MIN
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SMF
0 - 2
CHU
15%
21%
64%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
CHU
2 - 1
MOH
47%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MIN
3 - 1
NER
72%
18%
9%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
NER
0 - 1
SDF
13%
20%
67%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
GFC
0 - 0
NER
79%
15%
6%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
TRA
2 - 1
NER
65%
21%
14%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
AIZ
1 - 0
NER
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |