Churchill Brothers vs Neroca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Churchill Brothers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
CCF
1 - 2
CHU
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2021 |
CHU
0 - 0
RKF
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
CHU
0 - 0
AIZ
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
CHU
1 - 1
TRA
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
CHU
2 - 0
SMF
77%
14%
9%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
SMF
0 - 2
NER
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
RKF
4 - 3
NER
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
NER
1 - 2
CCF
43%
25%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
MOH
0 - 0
NER
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
NER
1 - 2
AIZ
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |