Chur 97 vs FC Thalwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
14º
6º
40
4º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chur 97
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
DUB
2 - 0
CHU
23%
20%
57%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CHU
4 - 0
TAG
74%
15%
11%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SVS
2 - 1
CHU
61%
19%
20%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CHU
2 - 2
UST
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FRA
2 - 2
CHU
46%
21%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 2
FRA
44%
22%
35%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCT
38%
24%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCT
5 - 0
WID
36%
22%
42%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +3 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FCT
2 - 3
LAC
58%
19%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAZ
1 - 3
FCT
49%
23%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |