Chur 97 vs FC Thalwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
12º
7º
43
4º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chur 97
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 2
CHU
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
BAZ
0 - 2
CHU
49%
21%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
CHU
3 - 1
BST
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
FCR
2 - 2
CHU
55%
20%
25%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CHU
3 - 3
FRA
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCT
3 - 3
BAZ
41%
24%
35%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
FCT
0 - 7
ZUR
4%
11%
85%
|
20 | 80 | 60 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
FCT
0 - 6
STG
10%
15%
75%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
FRE
3 - 2
FCT
86%
9%
5%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
FCT
1 - 3
FCP
11%
20%
69%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | -2 |