Chur 97 vs Arbon 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chur 97
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
UST
2 - 1
CHU
68%
17%
15%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CHU
3 - 3
SIR
28%
22%
49%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CHU
0 - 4
MEL
34%
21%
45%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
WID
3 - 1
CHU
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CHU
2 - 4
KOS
30%
23%
47%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Arbon 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
KRE
2 - 1
ARB
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ARB
3 - 1
UST
32%
23%
46%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 3
SIR
37%
23%
40%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MEL
3 - 2
ARB
59%
21%
21%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ARB
2 - 1
WID
27%
21%
52%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +2 |