Chungju Hummel vs Changwon City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chungju Hummel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
CHU
0 - 0
GIM
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
GOY
3 - 1
CHU
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2012 |
CHU
0 - 1
GYE
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
GKB
1 - 0
CHU
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
CHU
2 - 4
GWA
19%
22%
59%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Changwon City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 1
CHE
58%
24%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
DAE
1 - 2
CHA
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 2
BUS
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
GAN
0 - 1
CHA
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
CDR
1 - 0
CHA
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |