Chrudim vs Sparta Praha II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
7º
2º
6
6º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 61 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 54 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 46 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 45 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 44 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 44 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 42 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 41 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 41 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 39 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 39 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 37 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 36 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 34 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
|
15º
|
6 | 32 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 26 |
16º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
21% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
45% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
34% | 58% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 40.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chrudim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CHR
6 - 1
BOI
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SPI
0 - 1
CHR
52%
24%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
CHR
1 - 0
ZBR
40%
24%
36%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 0
CHR
49%
24%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
CHR
6 - 5
FKC
78%
14%
8%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Praha II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ZBR
0 - 0
SPA
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
SLO
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
OPA
4 - 2
SPA
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
4 - 0
VJI
50%
23%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SPI
2 - 1
SPA
50%
23%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |