Chrudim vs Baník Ostrava II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
7º
2º
7
2º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 61 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 54 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 46 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 45 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 44 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 44 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 42 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 41 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 41 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 39 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 39 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 37 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 36 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
|
14º
|
7 | 34 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 32 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 26 |
16º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
21% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
45% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
34% | 73% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 23.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chrudim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SPI
0 - 1
CHR
52%
24%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
CHR
1 - 0
ZBR
40%
24%
36%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 0
CHR
49%
24%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
CHR
6 - 5
FKC
78%
14%
8%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CHR
3 - 0
SGO
31%
25%
45%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Baník Ostrava II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
BOI
2 - 0
SLO
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BOI
1 - 3
VYS
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
FKM
1 - 2
BOI
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 2
BOI
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CRA
2 - 4
BOI
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |