Christchurch United vs Universities AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.4%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
12%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.1%
3.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+206%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
4º
3º
11
6º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Christchurch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FER
3 - 4
CHR
10%
14%
76%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
CHR
3 - 0
NOM
82%
11%
7%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
CHR
2 - 1
COA
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
AUC
2 - 3
CHR
79%
13%
8%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
CHR
2 - 4
CAS
51%
22%
27%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Universities AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
UOC
1 - 2
SUF
28%
21%
51%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
FER
1 - 0
UOC
84%
11%
5%
|
6 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
UOC
1 - 3
CHR
7%
12%
81%
|
7 | 38 | 31 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
UOC
3 - 2
WMK
22%
19%
59%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
UOC
0 - 6
CHR
7%
12%
81%
|
6 | 32 | 26 | 0 |