Christchurch United vs Dunedin City Royals analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
38.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Christchurch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CHR
3 - 2
COA
52%
21%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CHR
3 - 4
SCR
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
GIA
2 - 4
CHR
59%
19%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CHR
5 - 0
OTU
34%
22%
45%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +3 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 2
CHR
91%
7%
2%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Dunedin City Royals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
SCR
2 - 0
MOS
46%
21%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CHR
3 - 4
SCR
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
5 - 0
SCR
89%
8%
3%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SCR
2 - 1
COA
53%
21%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SCR
1 - 2
SUF
84%
10%
6%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |