Christchurch United vs Petone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
4º
3º
1
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Christchurch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CHR
1 - 2
MAN
86%
10%
5%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 2
CHR
37%
23%
39%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CHR
2 - 0
WEL
52%
22%
26%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
EAS
0 - 1
CHR
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CHR
2 - 2
MEL
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PET
0 - 1
AFC
15%
17%
68%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 1
PET
84%
10%
5%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PET
1 - 5
CAS
10%
13%
77%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NAP
3 - 0
PET
73%
15%
13%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
PET
2 - 1
STO
53%
20%
27%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |