Christchurch United vs Nomads Utd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
4º
3º
24
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Christchurch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
CHR
2 - 1
COA
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
AUC
2 - 3
CHR
79%
13%
8%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
CHR
2 - 4
CAS
51%
22%
27%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
WEL
5 - 2
CHR
70%
16%
14%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CHR
2 - 1
NAP
78%
13%
9%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Nomads Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SUF
0 - 3
NOM
18%
18%
64%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NOM
4 - 1
NSF
33%
20%
47%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 4
COA
41%
21%
38%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GIA
1 - 2
NOM
48%
20%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 1
DUN
42%
21%
36%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |