Christchurch United vs Nomads Utd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91%
Win probability
3.71
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.4%
6-0
5%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.7%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.4%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
6.3%
2.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
4º
1º
20
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Christchurch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
SUF
0 - 2
CHR
9%
14%
77%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
CHR
5 - 2
DUN
84%
10%
6%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
COA
0 - 4
CHR
11%
15%
74%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CHR
3 - 0
GIA
86%
9%
5%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
CHR
4 - 1
CAS
19%
20%
62%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
Nomads Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NOM
0 - 2
FCT
92%
6%
2%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
7 - 3
NOM
95%
4%
1%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 2
FER
34%
21%
45%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 0
NOM
62%
18%
19%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
COA
0 - 2
NOM
70%
16%
14%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |