Christchurch United vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
4º
3º
29
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Christchurch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
SUF
1 - 5
CHR
8%
12%
80%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
CHR
5 - 2
WAF
79%
13%
9%
|
40 | 6 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CHR
2 - 3
COA
85%
10%
5%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 4
CHR
7%
11%
82%
|
41 | 5 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CHR
5 - 0
DUN
85%
10%
5%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
NSF
4 - 2
FER
55%
20%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NSF
5 - 0
RAA
74%
15%
12%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 0
NSF
44%
20%
36%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NSF
1 - 6
CAS
9%
13%
78%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 1
NSF
6%
11%
84%
|
19 | 5 | 14 | 0 |