Christchurch United vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
21.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Christchurch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
FER
2 - 3
CHR
17%
19%
64%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CHR
4 - 1
SCR
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CHR
3 - 2
COA
52%
21%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CHR
3 - 4
SCR
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
GIA
2 - 4
CHR
59%
19%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
NSF
3 - 0
MOS
37%
21%
42%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
NSF
3 - 1
GIA
27%
20%
53%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
NSF
1 - 2
SUF
68%
17%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
NSF
1 - 3
OTU
41%
22%
37%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NSF
1 - 5
CAS
7%
15%
78%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | 0 |