Christchurch United vs Twenty 11 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.9%
Win probability
3.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
10%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.6%
3.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
4º
3º
1
10º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Christchurch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 3
CHR
12%
15%
74%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 1
CHR
8%
12%
81%
|
38 | 10 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
CHR
2 - 3
FER
84%
10%
6%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
NOM
1 - 2
CHR
15%
16%
68%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 2
CHR
46%
22%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Twenty 11
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 4
FER
11%
15%
74%
|
6 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 0
FCT
88%
9%
4%
|
6 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 10
CAS
5%
8%
87%
|
6 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
NSF
4 - 2
FCT
90%
7%
3%
|
6 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SUF
4 - 0
FCT
65%
17%
18%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |