Christchurch United vs Twenty 11 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93%
Win probability
3.81
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.9%
7-0
3.2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4%
6-0
5.9%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.6%
5-0
9.4%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.5%
4-0
12.3%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
5.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.2%
1.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-74%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
4º
1º
6
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Christchurch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
CHR
9 - 0
PAS
81%
12%
7%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CHR
4 - 0
NSF
82%
11%
7%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FER
0 - 6
CHR
10%
15%
75%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
CHR
1 - 0
NOM
91%
6%
3%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
SUF
0 - 2
CHR
9%
14%
77%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Twenty 11
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
HAL
1 - 2
FCT
20%
19%
62%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCT
3 - 0
FER
8%
13%
79%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | +3 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 0
FCT
90%
7%
3%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 4
COA
7%
12%
81%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NOM
0 - 2
FCT
92%
6%
2%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | +2 |